For Trump, the 2024 election looks like 2016 with who is running for president. Here are key differences

WASHINGTON – For some, Donald Trump’s campaign for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024 is looking a lot like his victorious run in 2016 – and at the same time is totally unprecedented in the history of American politics.

As in the 2016 campaign cycle, Trump faces a flock of primary challengers who could split the opposition vote and enable the former businessman and television celebrity to win primaries – and delegates – with as little as 30% of the vote.

Meanwhile, the Trump of 2024 is not the Trump of 2016: He’s a former president who virtually controls the Republican Party; he also faces two criminal trials that could generate embarrassing details of his conduct and two other investigations are still pending.

“He’s the favorite,” said Republican pollster Whit Ayres. “But there are a whole lot of events that will occur between now and the nomination.”

Many of those events, he added, “are unprecedented, which means they are impossible to predict.”

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